Trifecta Signals
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Confluence Screener · Public Track Record

Three oversold signals.
One trigger.

Trifecta screens ~6,600 exchange-listed stocks every day for one rare setup — three independent oversold signals converging at once, confirmed before it counts. Every signal is published, winners and losers alike.

730CONFIRMED SIGNALS IN THE 3 SCENARIOS
80.2%REACHED +10% WITHIN 90 DAYS
+57.9%MEDIAN GAIN SINCE TRIGGER · ALL 3 SCENARIOS

Screening for three proprietary scenarios

Beyond the base pattern, the screen tags three distinct scenarios — the moments when a stock's decline starts to change character. Historically they are the strongest setups in the record, and each one is assigned at the trigger, never after the fact.

WASHOUT

A quality company — using proprietary screening — sold down far below its long-term trend. The business is intact; the price isn't.

79.4%
reached +10% within 90 days of the trigger

CAPITULATION

A washout where the selling climaxes — volume spiking as the last holders give up, and forced selling burns itself out.

84.4%
reached +10% within 90 days of the trigger

EXHAUSTION

A washout where the decline itself runs out of sellers — the rarest scenario the screen produces.

80.8%
reached +10% within 90 days of the trigger

Market backdrop and context indicators

Every day starts with the market backdrop — where the S&P 500 sits against its own history — because the same signal means different things in different weather. Live from the current site:

Fresh-high caution — SPY's record high is 17 days old and the index sits +37.7% above its 200-week average. If it now slides to its 200-day average — about 4.8% below the current price — within weeks of that fresh high, history says be selective, not absent.
MARKET BACKDROP · S&P 500 $759.97 · −2.5% OFF ITS 52-WEEK HIGH · OCT 23, 2026 CLOSE