Trifecta Signals

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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)

Signal record & history · Trifecta Signals

Apollo has triggered the Trifecta screener 11 times since 2022. 8 signals confirmed; the median confirmed signal is up +35.3% since its trigger.

$6.60+$0.18 (+2.80%)Close · Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Price refreshes every trading day after the close.

Small capProfitableRevenue shrinking at the latest signal (-14.7%)
ARI weekly closes
-51.9% MAX · Range $6.20 – $14.33
$6$8$10$12 20222023202420252026

Weekly closes · through the most recent close

Confirmed signals on record
8
Median return since trigger (confirmed)
+35.3%
Reached +10% within 90 days (full windows only)
6 of 8
Beat the S&P 500 since confirmation
0 of 8

First signal Feb 2022 · Latest Sep 2026 · Confirmed 8 of 11 Early · Latest close in the chart data: Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Confirmed Signals By Group

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Groups are mutually exclusive — every confirmed signal sits in exactly one.

ARI screener summary

Of Apollo’s eleven Early signals since February 2022, eight confirmed. Six of the eight with a full 90-day window reached +10% within 90 days, and 0 of eight finished ahead of the S&P 500 since confirmation. Eight signals carried a caution flag. Three Early signals never confirmed and count in no statistic.

Signal timeline — ARI

Every Early signal in the record, newest first. Entry prices and per-signal returns stay in the member screener.

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Signal timeline — ARI

Members see every signal below, and the group mix above.

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Full signal timeline
Every Early signal with its group tag and caution flags
 
ConfirmedGroup tagRevenue
 
Never confirmed⚠ CAUTION
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Group tags & caution flags for every signal
See the full ARI record

Membership unlocks the complete signal timeline for ARI and every other stock in the record — group tags, caution flags, and the full screener.

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