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Signal record & history · Trifecta Signals
Carlyle has triggered the Trifecta screener 10 times since 2022. 8 signals confirmed; the median confirmed signal is down +0.7% since its trigger.
Price refreshes every trading day after the close.
Large cap — $10B and above
Mid cap — $2B to $10B
Small cap — under $2B
Measured when the signal fired, so a stock's group stays as it was at the signal, even if its value moves afterward.
ProfitableRevenue shrinking at the latest signal (-11.9%)Weekly closes · through the most recent close
First signal Sep 2022 · Latest Mar 2026 · Confirmed 8 of 10 Early · Latest close in the chart data: Mon, Oct 26, 2026
Groups are mutually exclusive — every confirmed signal sits in exactly one.
Of Carlyle’s ten Early signals since September 2022, eight confirmed. Seven of the eight with a full 90-day window reached +10% within 90 days, and 0 of eight finished ahead of the S&P 500 since confirmation. Three signals carried a caution flag. Two Early signals never confirmed and count in no statistic.
Every Early signal in the record, newest first. Entry prices and per-signal returns stay in the member screener.
Members see every signal below, and the group mix above.
Membership unlocks the complete signal timeline for CG and every other stock in the record — group tags, caution flags, and the full screener.
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